Transparency

TRACK RECORD

Every model prediction, graded automatically against results — how often it's right and how well-calibrated, shown in the open.

0
Matches graded
Favourite correct
Brier (lower=better)
72
Predictions made
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The record builds here live as World Cup matches complete — how often the model's favoured outcome lands, and how well-calibrated its probabilities are (Brier score). Shown in the open.

"Favourite correct" = how often the model's most-likely outcome happened. Brier score measures probability calibration (lower is better). We show the model's real accuracy as matches play — no cherry-picking. How the model works →
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →