Model vs Market

MODEL vs MARKET

Our model's win/draw/win probabilities and fair odds for every match, shown next to the best available bookmaker price and the gap in percentage points.

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Mexico v South Africa
Group A · 06-11 13:00 UTC-6
Mexico
62%
fair 1.6
mkt 68% · best 1.5 @ Betway-6pp
Draw
25%
fair 3.94
mkt 21% · best 4.7 @ Betfair Ex Uk+5pp
South Africa
12%
fair 8.13
mkt 11% · best 9.4 @ Betfair Ex Uk+1pp
Over 2.5
36%
fair 2.75
mkt 46% · best 2.2 @ Matchbook-10pp
Under 2.5
64%
fair 1.57
mkt 54% · best 1.82 @ Matchbook+10pp
Both score
34%
fair 2.9
mkt 40% · best 2.48 @ Matchbook-6pp
South Korea v Czech Republic
Group A · 06-11 20:00 UTC-6
South Korea
30%
fair 3.31
mkt 36% · best 2.78 @ Smarkets-6pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.52
mkt 30% · best 3.3 @ Coolbet-2pp
Czech Republic
41%
fair 2.41
mkt 33% · best 2.98 @ Betfair Ex Uk+8pp
Over 2.5
44%
fair 2.3
mkt 42% · best 2.32 @ Betonlineag+2pp
Under 2.5
56%
fair 1.77
mkt 58% · best 1.68 @ Betsson-2pp
Both score
49%
fair 2.03
mkt 50% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-1pp
Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina
Group B · 06-12 15:00 UTC-4
Canada
49%
fair 2.06
mkt 53% · best 1.89 @ Betfair Ex Uk-5pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.33
mkt 25% · best 3.75 @ Smarkets+5pp
Bosnia & Herzegovina
21%
fair 4.66
mkt 21% · best 4.83 @ Betonlineag-0pp
Over 2.5
34%
fair 2.97
mkt 42% · best 2.25 @ Betonlineag-8pp
Under 2.5
66%
fair 1.51
mkt 58% · best 1.7 @ Betsson+8pp
Both score
39%
fair 2.56
mkt 46% · best 2.0 @ Livescorebet-7pp
USA v Paraguay
Group D · 06-12 18:00 UTC-7
USA
40%
fair 2.48
mkt 49% · best 2.06 @ Betfair Ex Eu-8pp
Draw
31%
fair 3.2
mkt 27% · best 3.55 @ Unibet Nl+4pp
Paraguay
28%
fair 3.53
mkt 24% · best 4.2 @ Betfair Ex Eu+4pp
Over 2.5
34%
fair 2.98
mkt 42% · best 2.3 @ Williamhill-9pp
Under 2.5
66%
fair 1.5
mkt 58% · best 1.65 @ Betsson+9pp
Both score
41%
fair 2.43
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-6pp
Qatar v Switzerland
Group B · 06-13 12:00 UTC-7
Qatar
4%
fair 26.17
mkt 7% · best 15.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk-3pp
Draw
10%
fair 10.32
mkt 13% · best 6.8 @ Betonlineag-4pp
Switzerland
86%
fair 1.16
mkt 80% · best 1.26 @ Betfair Ex Uk+7pp
Over 2.5
72%
fair 1.39
mkt 58% · best 1.67 @ Gtbets+13pp
Under 2.5
28%
fair 3.54
mkt 42% · best 2.25 @ Williamhill-13pp
Both score
42%
fair 2.36
mkt 39% · best 2.38 @ Betfred Uk+3pp
Brazil v Morocco
Group C · 06-13 18:00 UTC-4
Brazil
52%
fair 1.92
mkt 61% · best 1.65 @ Betfair Ex Uk-8pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.33
mkt 24% · best 4.1 @ Betfair Ex Uk+6pp
Morocco
18%
fair 5.59
mkt 15% · best 6.3 @ Marathonbet+3pp
Over 2.5
31%
fair 3.25
mkt 47% · best 2.1 @ Betonlineag-17pp
Under 2.5
69%
fair 1.44
mkt 53% · best 1.85 @ Pinnacle+17pp
Both score
35%
fair 2.86
mkt 46% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-12pp
Haiti v Scotland
Group C · 06-13 21:00 UTC-4
Haiti
10%
fair 10.39
mkt 13% · best 8.25 @ Coolbet-3pp
Draw
18%
fair 5.62
mkt 21% · best 5.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk-3pp
Scotland
73%
fair 1.38
mkt 67% · best 1.48 @ Onexbet+6pp
Over 2.5
58%
fair 1.74
mkt 50% · best 1.96 @ Pinnacle+8pp
Under 2.5
42%
fair 2.35
mkt 50% · best 1.98 @ Betonlineag-8pp
Both score
46%
fair 2.17
mkt 45% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk+1pp
Australia v Turkey
Group D · 06-13 21:00 UTC-7
Australia
27%
fair 3.77
mkt 20% · best 5.2 @ Betfair Ex Uk+7pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.61
mkt 25% · best 3.8 @ Betfair Ex Uk+2pp
Turkey
46%
fair 2.18
mkt 55% · best 1.83 @ Onexbet-9pp
Over 2.5
44%
fair 2.25
mkt 47% · best 2.13 @ Betonlineag-3pp
Under 2.5
56%
fair 1.8
mkt 53% · best 1.87 @ Coolbet+3pp
Both score
49%
fair 2.03
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Williamhill-0pp
Germany v Curaçao
Group E · 06-14 12:00 UTC-5
Germany
99%
fair 1.01
mkt 96% · best 1.06 @ Betfair Ex Uk+2pp
Draw
1%
fair 96.48
mkt 3% · best 23.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk-2pp
Curaçao
0%
fair 511.63
mkt 1% · best 100.0 @ Betsson-1pp
Over 2.5
94%
fair 1.07
mkt 82% · best 1.2 @ Betsson+12pp
Under 2.5
6%
fair 15.73
mkt 18% · best 4.75 @ Williamhill-12pp
Both score
28%
fair 3.59
mkt 31% · best 2.9 @ Coral-3pp
Netherlands v Japan
Group F · 06-14 15:00 UTC-5
Netherlands
49%
fair 2.03
mkt 49% · best 2.04 @ Unibet Nl+0pp
Draw
26%
fair 3.79
mkt 26% · best 3.75 @ Betfair Ex Eu+1pp
Japan
24%
fair 4.09
mkt 25% · best 4.0 @ Marathonbet-1pp
Over 2.5
48%
fair 2.1
mkt 49% · best 1.98 @ Pinnacle-1pp
Under 2.5
52%
fair 1.91
mkt 51% · best 1.93 @ Betonlineag+1pp
Both score
51%
fair 1.96
mkt 54% · best 1.77 @ Onexbet-3pp
Ivory Coast v Ecuador
Group E · 06-14 19:00 UTC-4
Ivory Coast
22%
fair 4.47
mkt 25% · best 3.9 @ Betfair Ex Uk-2pp
Draw
35%
fair 2.89
mkt 35% · best 3.1 @ Coolbet-0pp
Ecuador
43%
fair 2.33
mkt 41% · best 2.44 @ Betfair Ex Uk+2pp
Over 2.5
23%
fair 4.27
mkt 33% · best 2.82 @ Betsson-9pp
Under 2.5
77%
fair 1.31
mkt 67% · best 1.44 @ Williamhill+9pp
Both score
31%
fair 3.22
mkt 42% · best 2.23 @ Onexbet-11pp
Sweden v Tunisia
Group F · 06-14 20:00 UTC-6
Sweden
44%
fair 2.26
mkt 49% · best 2.02 @ Betfair Ex Uk-5pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.3
mkt 28% · best 3.48 @ Marathonbet+2pp
Tunisia
25%
fair 3.93
mkt 23% · best 4.5 @ Smarkets+3pp
Over 2.5
35%
fair 2.84
mkt 42% · best 2.29 @ Onexbet-7pp
Under 2.5
65%
fair 1.54
mkt 58% · best 1.65 @ Betsson+7pp
Both score
42%
fair 2.4
mkt 46% · best 2.0 @ Ladbrokes Uk-5pp
Spain v Cape Verde
Group H · 06-15 12:00 UTC-4
Spain
93%
fair 1.08
mkt 91% · best 1.12 @ Betfair Ex Uk+1pp
Draw
6%
fair 16.9
mkt 6% · best 14.0 @ Winamax De-0pp
Cape Verde
1%
fair 72.59
mkt 2% · best 41.0 @ Betsson-1pp
Over 2.5
73%
fair 1.37
mkt 72% · best 1.36 @ Betsson+2pp
Under 2.5
27%
fair 3.73
mkt 28% · best 3.2 @ Betsson-2pp
Both score
28%
fair 3.59
mkt 33% · best 2.75 @ Betfred Uk-5pp
Belgium v Egypt
Group G · 06-15 12:00 UTC-7
Belgium
63%
fair 1.58
mkt 59% · best 1.7 @ Onexbet+4pp
Draw
24%
fair 4.15
mkt 23% · best 4.2 @ Coolbet+1pp
Egypt
13%
fair 7.99
mkt 18% · best 5.7 @ Smarkets-5pp
Over 2.5
41%
fair 2.45
mkt 52% · best 1.88 @ Pinnacle-11pp
Under 2.5
59%
fair 1.69
mkt 48% · best 2.02 @ Coolbet+11pp
Both score
38%
fair 2.64
mkt 52% · best 1.83 @ Coral-14pp
Saudi Arabia v Uruguay
Group H · 06-15 18:00 UTC-4
Saudi Arabia
6%
fair 16.2
mkt 13% · best 7.8 @ Betfair Ex Uk-6pp
Draw
20%
fair 5.06
mkt 21% · best 4.6 @ Betfair Ex Uk-1pp
Uruguay
74%
fair 1.35
mkt 66% · best 1.51 @ Betfair Ex Uk+8pp
Over 2.5
40%
fair 2.53
mkt 50% · best 1.96 @ Pinnacle-10pp
Under 2.5
60%
fair 1.65
mkt 50% · best 1.93 @ Pinnacle+10pp
Both score
27%
fair 3.72
mkt 45% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-18pp
Iran v New Zealand
Group G · 06-15 18:00 UTC-7
Iran
57%
fair 1.74
mkt 50% · best 2.0 @ Smarkets+7pp
Draw
27%
fair 3.68
mkt 28% · best 3.55 @ Unibet Nl-0pp
New Zealand
15%
fair 6.46
mkt 22% · best 4.6 @ Draftkings-7pp
Over 2.5
36%
fair 2.79
mkt 42% · best 2.28 @ Betsson-7pp
Under 2.5
64%
fair 1.56
mkt 58% · best 1.68 @ Coolbet+7pp
Both score
37%
fair 2.69
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Coral-9pp
France v Senegal
Group I · 06-16 15:00 UTC-4
France
58%
fair 1.71
mkt 68% · best 1.47 @ Coolbet-9pp
Draw
26%
fair 3.9
mkt 20% · best 5.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk+6pp
Senegal
16%
fair 6.27
mkt 12% · best 8.2 @ Betfair Ex Uk+4pp
Over 2.5
41%
fair 2.43
mkt 50% · best 1.93 @ Pinnacle-9pp
Under 2.5
59%
fair 1.7
mkt 50% · best 1.97 @ Betonlineag+9pp
Both score
41%
fair 2.42
mkt 45% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-4pp
Iraq v Norway
Group I · 06-16 18:00 UTC-4
Iraq
6%
fair 16.31
mkt 6% · best 15.5 @ Betsson+0pp
Draw
16%
fair 6.22
mkt 12% · best 7.4 @ Betfair Ex Uk+4pp
Norway
78%
fair 1.29
mkt 82% · best 1.25 @ Gtbets-4pp
Over 2.5
52%
fair 1.91
mkt 62% · best 1.6 @ Gtbets-9pp
Under 2.5
48%
fair 2.1
mkt 38% · best 2.45 @ Betsson+9pp
Both score
35%
fair 2.84
mkt 41% · best 2.25 @ Ladbrokes Uk-6pp
Argentina v Algeria
Group J · 06-16 20:00 UTC-5
Argentina
76%
fair 1.32
mkt 69% · best 1.43 @ Draftkings+7pp
Draw
17%
fair 5.85
mkt 20% · best 4.9 @ Betfair Ex Eu-3pp
Algeria
7%
fair 14.44
mkt 10% · best 10.0 @ Betfair Ex Eu-3pp
Over 2.5
51%
fair 1.95
mkt 50% · best 1.95 @ Coolbet+1pp
Under 2.5
49%
fair 2.05
mkt 50% · best 1.98 @ Coolbet-1pp
Both score
36%
fair 2.75
mkt 42% · best 2.2 @ Coral-6pp
Austria v Jordan
Group J · 06-16 21:00 UTC-7
Austria
78%
fair 1.28
mkt 74% · best 1.35 @ Coolbet+4pp
Draw
15%
fair 6.59
mkt 16% · best 5.9 @ Betfair Ex Eu-1pp
Jordan
6%
fair 15.41
mkt 10% · best 10.0 @ Unibet Nl-3pp
Over 2.5
58%
fair 1.73
mkt 60% · best 1.63 @ Onexbet-2pp
Under 2.5
42%
fair 2.37
mkt 40% · best 2.33 @ Casumo+2pp
Both score
40%
fair 2.5
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Coral-7pp
Portugal v DR Congo
Group K · 06-17 12:00 UTC-5
Portugal
77%
fair 1.3
mkt 77% · best 1.29 @ Betway-0pp
Draw
17%
fair 5.79
mkt 15% · best 6.6 @ Betfair Ex Eu+2pp
DR Congo
6%
fair 16.79
mkt 8% · best 13.5 @ Betfair Ex Eu-2pp
Over 2.5
47%
fair 2.12
mkt 59% · best 1.62 @ Gtbets-12pp
Under 2.5
53%
fair 1.89
mkt 41% · best 2.3 @ Tipico De+12pp
Both score
31%
fair 3.21
mkt 42% · best 2.25 @ Onexbet-10pp
England v Croatia
Group L · 06-17 15:00 UTC-5
England
54%
fair 1.86
mkt 56% · best 1.79 @ Betfair Ex Uk-2pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.6
mkt 24% · best 3.95 @ Smarkets+3pp
Croatia
18%
fair 5.44
mkt 20% · best 5.25 @ Coolbet-1pp
Over 2.5
37%
fair 2.67
mkt 46% · best 2.1 @ Onexbet-9pp
Under 2.5
63%
fair 1.6
mkt 54% · best 1.78 @ Coolbet+9pp
Both score
40%
fair 2.48
mkt 48% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-7pp
Ghana v Panama
Group L · 06-17 19:00 UTC-4
Ghana
43%
fair 2.34
mkt 48% · best 2.1 @ Betfair Ex Uk-5pp
Draw
29%
fair 3.41
mkt 27% · best 3.75 @ Winamax De+3pp
Panama
28%
fair 3.58
mkt 26% · best 3.9 @ Betfair Ex Uk+2pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.54
mkt 45% · best 2.21 @ Onexbet-5pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.65
mkt 55% · best 1.73 @ Coolbet+5pp
Both score
46%
fair 2.19
mkt 49% · best 1.93 @ Onexbet-3pp
Uzbekistan v Colombia
Group K · 06-17 20:00 UTC-6
Uzbekistan
6%
fair 16.71
mkt 11% · best 9.4 @ Betfair Ex Eu-5pp
Draw
17%
fair 5.93
mkt 20% · best 4.9 @ Betfair Ex Eu-3pp
Colombia
77%
fair 1.3
mkt 69% · best 1.44 @ Onexbet+8pp
Over 2.5
49%
fair 2.05
mkt 50% · best 1.96 @ Pinnacle-1pp
Under 2.5
51%
fair 1.95
mkt 50% · best 1.93 @ Pinnacle+1pp
Both score
32%
fair 3.09
mkt 42% · best 2.25 @ Betfred Uk-10pp
Czech Republic v South Africa
Group A · 06-18 12:00 UTC-4
Czech Republic
61%
fair 1.65
mkt 49% · best 2.1 @ Leovegas Se+12pp
Draw
25%
fair 4.02
mkt 28% · best 3.4 @ Smarkets-4pp
South Africa
14%
fair 6.93
mkt 23% · best 4.18 @ Betonlineag-8pp
Over 2.5
41%
fair 2.42
mkt 40% · best 2.3 @ Williamhill+1pp
Under 2.5
59%
fair 1.71
mkt 60% · best 1.64 @ Onexbet-1pp
Both score
40%
fair 2.48
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-6pp
Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina
Group B · 06-18 12:00 UTC-7
Switzerland
70%
fair 1.43
mkt 61% · best 1.63 @ Betfair Ex Uk+9pp
Draw
20%
fair 5.01
mkt 23% · best 4.19 @ Gtbets-3pp
Bosnia & Herzegovina
10%
fair 9.73
mkt 16% · best 6.05 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Over 2.5
50%
fair 1.99
mkt 47% · best 2.02 @ Bovada+4pp
Under 2.5
50%
fair 2.01
mkt 53% · best 1.85 @ Leovegas-4pp
Both score
42%
fair 2.39
mkt 46% · best 2.05 @ Williamhill-4pp
Canada v Qatar
Group B · 06-18 15:00 UTC-7
Canada
68%
fair 1.48
mkt 74% · best 1.38 @ Gtbets-6pp
Draw
21%
fair 4.79
mkt 17% · best 5.5 @ Smarkets+4pp
Qatar
11%
fair 8.71
mkt 8% · best 11.25 @ Marathonbet+3pp
Over 2.5
50%
fair 2.01
mkt 48% · best 2.01 @ Betonlineag+1pp
Under 2.5
50%
fair 1.99
mkt 52% · best 1.85 @ Onexbet-1pp
Both score
43%
fair 2.32
mkt 36% · best 2.5 @ Livescorebet+7pp
Mexico v South Korea
Group A · 06-18 19:00 UTC-6
Mexico
44%
fair 2.25
mkt 54% · best 1.89 @ Onexbet-9pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.36
mkt 26% · best 3.64 @ Onexbet+4pp
South Korea
26%
fair 3.88
mkt 20% · best 4.75 @ Betonlineag+6pp
Over 2.5
37%
fair 2.7
mkt 42% · best 2.23 @ Onexbet-5pp
Under 2.5
63%
fair 1.59
mkt 58% · best 1.67 @ Onexbet+5pp
Both score
43%
fair 2.31
mkt 46% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-3pp
USA v Australia
Group D · 06-19 12:00 UTC-7
USA
42%
fair 2.39
mkt 56% · best 1.79 @ Betfair Ex Uk-14pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.39
mkt 23% · best 4.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk+6pp
Australia
29%
fair 3.5
mkt 21% · best 5.0 @ Leovegas Se+8pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.56
mkt 49% · best 2.07 @ Gtbets-10pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.64
mkt 51% · best 1.85 @ Unibet Se+10pp
Both score
46%
fair 2.19
mkt 48% · best 1.95 @ Coral-3pp
Scotland v Morocco
Group C · 06-19 18:00 UTC-4
Scotland
15%
fair 6.64
mkt 23% · best 4.4 @ Smarkets-8pp
Draw
29%
fair 3.4
mkt 30% · best 3.35 @ Betfair Ex Uk-0pp
Morocco
56%
fair 1.8
mkt 48% · best 2.1 @ Unibet Se+8pp
Over 2.5
30%
fair 3.38
mkt 40% · best 2.31 @ Onexbet-11pp
Under 2.5
70%
fair 1.42
mkt 60% · best 1.63 @ Onexbet+11pp
Both score
32%
fair 3.12
mkt 46% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-14pp
Turkey v Paraguay
Group D · 06-19 20:00 UTC-7
Turkey
44%
fair 2.27
mkt 43% · best 2.3 @ Grosvenor+1pp
Draw
29%
fair 3.4
mkt 30% · best 3.28 @ Onexbet-0pp
Paraguay
26%
fair 3.78
mkt 27% · best 3.5 @ Marathonbet-1pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.6
mkt 40% · best 2.35 @ Betonlineag-1pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.63
mkt 60% · best 1.65 @ Betonlineag+1pp
Both score
45%
fair 2.24
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-3pp
Brazil v Haiti
Group C · 06-19 20:30 UTC-4
Brazil
98%
fair 1.02
mkt 94% · best 1.07 @ Marathonbet+4pp
Draw
1%
fair 69.8
mkt 4% · best 16.5 @ Betfair Ex Eu-3pp
Haiti
0%
fair 348.55
mkt 1% · best 51.0 @ Grosvenor-1pp
Over 2.5
92%
fair 1.09
mkt 79% · best 1.22 @ Williamhill+12pp
Under 2.5
8%
fair 12.24
mkt 21% · best 3.9 @ Williamhill-12pp
Both score
29%
fair 3.48
mkt 33% · best 2.75 @ Virginbet-4pp
Netherlands v Sweden
Group F · 06-20 12:00 UTC-5
Netherlands
59%
fair 1.69
mkt 60% · best 1.73 @ Grosvenor-0pp
Draw
22%
fair 4.52
mkt 22% · best 4.15 @ Onexbet-0pp
Sweden
19%
fair 5.39
mkt 18% · best 5.55 @ Marathonbet+1pp
Over 2.5
58%
fair 1.72
mkt 49% · best 1.97 @ Betonlineag+9pp
Under 2.5
42%
fair 2.39
mkt 51% · best 1.89 @ Onexbet-9pp
Both score
56%
fair 1.79
mkt 49% · best 1.91 @ Betfred Uk+7pp
Germany v Ivory Coast
Group E · 06-20 16:00 UTC-4
Germany
67%
fair 1.48
mkt 64% · best 1.6 @ Gtbets+4pp
Draw
21%
fair 4.85
mkt 21% · best 4.5 @ Betfair Ex Uk+0pp
Ivory Coast
12%
fair 8.35
mkt 16% · best 6.4 @ Betfair Ex Uk-4pp
Over 2.5
52%
fair 1.92
mkt 53% · best 1.81 @ Onexbet-1pp
Under 2.5
48%
fair 2.08
mkt 47% · best 2.05 @ Williamhill+1pp
Both score
45%
fair 2.21
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Betfred Uk-4pp
Ecuador v Curaçao
Group E · 06-20 19:00 UTC-5
Ecuador
89%
fair 1.12
mkt 80% · best 1.27 @ Gtbets+9pp
Draw
9%
fair 11.08
mkt 12% · best 6.75 @ Bovada-3pp
Curaçao
2%
fair 50.62
mkt 8% · best 16.5 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Over 2.5
61%
fair 1.64
mkt 53% · best 1.79 @ Gtbets+8pp
Under 2.5
39%
fair 2.55
mkt 47% · best 2.15 @ Onexbet-8pp
Both score
24%
fair 4.16
mkt 36% · best 2.62 @ Betfred Uk-12pp
Tunisia v Japan
Group F · 06-20 22:00 UTC-6
Tunisia
20%
fair 5.02
mkt 19% · best 5.1 @ Smarkets+1pp
Draw
31%
fair 3.22
mkt 27% · best 3.52 @ Onexbet+4pp
Japan
49%
fair 2.04
mkt 55% · best 1.88 @ Gtbets-6pp
Over 2.5
30%
fair 3.34
mkt 37% · best 2.38 @ Grosvenor-7pp
Under 2.5
70%
fair 1.43
mkt 63% · best 1.67 @ Onexbet+7pp
Both score
35%
fair 2.82
mkt 45% · best 2.14 @ Virginbet-9pp
Spain v Saudi Arabia
Group H · 06-21 12:00 UTC-4
Spain
94%
fair 1.07
mkt 90% · best 1.13 @ Gtbets+3pp
Draw
5%
fair 18.94
mkt 7% · best 10.5 @ Onexbet-2pp
Saudi Arabia
1%
fair 89.6
mkt 3% · best 29.0 @ Onexbet-2pp
Over 2.5
74%
fair 1.35
mkt 65% · best 1.44 @ Williamhill+9pp
Under 2.5
26%
fair 3.86
mkt 35% · best 2.5 @ Williamhill-9pp
Both score
26%
fair 3.9
mkt 30% · best 3.0 @ Betfred Uk-4pp
Belgium v Iran
Group G · 06-21 12:00 UTC-7
Belgium
59%
fair 1.69
mkt 70% · best 1.44 @ Ladbrokes Uk-11pp
Draw
24%
fair 4.16
mkt 19% · best 5.0 @ Betfair Ex Uk+5pp
Iran
17%
fair 6.02
mkt 11% · best 9.0 @ Betonlineag+6pp
Over 2.5
48%
fair 2.1
mkt 51% · best 1.87 @ Onexbet-4pp
Under 2.5
52%
fair 1.91
mkt 49% · best 1.95 @ Onexbet+4pp
Both score
47%
fair 2.14
mkt 44% · best 2.2 @ Betfred Uk+3pp
Uruguay v Cape Verde
Group H · 06-21 18:00 UTC-4
Uruguay
72%
fair 1.39
mkt 69% · best 1.51 @ Smarkets+3pp
Draw
21%
fair 4.81
mkt 20% · best 4.65 @ Betonlineag+1pp
Cape Verde
7%
fair 13.91
mkt 11% · best 8.0 @ Smarkets-4pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.55
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Onexbet-11pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.65
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Onexbet+11pp
Both score
29%
fair 3.46
mkt 44% · best 2.2 @ Betfred Uk-15pp
New Zealand v Egypt
Group G · 06-21 18:00 UTC-7
New Zealand
20%
fair 5.04
mkt 20% · best 5.5 @ Ladbrokes Uk-0pp
Draw
33%
fair 3.02
mkt 24% · best 3.9 @ Bovada+10pp
Egypt
47%
fair 2.13
mkt 56% · best 1.77 @ Betonlineag-9pp
Over 2.5
25%
fair 3.97
mkt 43% · best 2.25 @ Onexbet-18pp
Under 2.5
75%
fair 1.34
mkt 57% · best 1.66 @ Onexbet+18pp
Both score
32%
fair 3.17
mkt 44% · best 2.15 @ Coral-12pp
Argentina v Austria
Group J · 06-22 12:00 UTC-5
Argentina
66%
fair 1.52
mkt 59% · best 1.7 @ Gtbets+7pp
Draw
24%
fair 4.24
mkt 25% · best 4.0 @ Betfair Ex Eu-1pp
Austria
11%
fair 9.29
mkt 17% · best 5.7 @ Betfair Ex Eu-6pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.56
mkt 49% · best 1.98 @ Betonlineag-10pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.64
mkt 51% · best 1.87 @ Bovada+10pp
Both score
35%
fair 2.9
mkt 48% · best 1.95 @ Coral-14pp
France v Iraq
Group I · 06-22 17:00 UTC-4
France
89%
fair 1.12
mkt 90% · best 1.13 @ Smarkets-0pp
Draw
9%
fair 11.55
mkt 8% · best 11.0 @ Ladbrokes Uk+1pp
Iraq
2%
fair 47.59
mkt 2% · best 31.0 @ Onexbet-0pp
Over 2.5
64%
fair 1.56
mkt 65% · best 1.44 @ Williamhill-2pp
Under 2.5
36%
fair 2.78
mkt 35% · best 2.5 @ Williamhill+2pp
Both score
27%
fair 3.71
mkt 29% · best 3.0 @ Betfred Uk-2pp
Norway v Senegal
Group I · 06-22 20:00 UTC-4
Norway
40%
fair 2.52
mkt 47% · best 2.18 @ Betfair Ex Eu-7pp
Draw
29%
fair 3.41
mkt 26% · best 3.66 @ Betonlineag+3pp
Senegal
31%
fair 3.23
mkt 27% · best 3.6 @ Unibet Nl+4pp
Over 2.5
40%
fair 2.47
mkt 49% · best 1.97 @ Gtbets-8pp
Under 2.5
60%
fair 1.68
mkt 51% · best 1.94 @ Unibet Nl+8pp
Both score
47%
fair 2.13
mkt 54% · best 1.8 @ Betfred Uk-7pp
Jordan v Algeria
Group J · 06-22 20:00 UTC-7
Jordan
10%
fair 10.43
mkt 17% · best 5.7 @ Marathonbet-8pp
Draw
17%
fair 5.79
mkt 23% · best 4.0 @ Draftkings-6pp
Algeria
73%
fair 1.37
mkt 59% · best 1.73 @ Gtbets+14pp
Over 2.5
60%
fair 1.68
mkt 49% · best 2.0 @ Williamhill+11pp
Under 2.5
40%
fair 2.48
mkt 51% · best 1.87 @ Bovada-11pp
Both score
47%
fair 2.11
mkt 48% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-1pp
Portugal v Uzbekistan
Group K · 06-23 12:00 UTC-5
Portugal
82%
fair 1.22
mkt 80% · best 1.32 @ Gtbets+2pp
Draw
14%
fair 7.3
mkt 13% · best 6.5 @ Pmu Fr+1pp
Uzbekistan
4%
fair 22.91
mkt 7% · best 14.5 @ Betfair Ex Eu-3pp
Over 2.5
55%
fair 1.83
mkt 63% · best 1.5 @ Williamhill-8pp
Under 2.5
45%
fair 2.2
mkt 37% · best 2.4 @ Williamhill+8pp
Both score
31%
fair 3.18
mkt 45% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-13pp
England v Ghana
Group L · 06-23 16:00 UTC-4
England
84%
fair 1.19
mkt 75% · best 1.36 @ Smarkets+9pp
Draw
12%
fair 8.11
mkt 16% · best 5.7 @ Smarkets-4pp
Ghana
4%
fair 28.39
mkt 9% · best 11.0 @ Onexbet-6pp
Over 2.5
56%
fair 1.79
mkt 56% · best 1.69 @ Gtbets-0pp
Under 2.5
44%
fair 2.27
mkt 44% · best 2.2 @ Onexbet+0pp
Both score
29%
fair 3.43
mkt 44% · best 2.2 @ Betfred Uk-15pp
Panama v Croatia
Group L · 06-23 19:00 UTC-4
Panama
6%
fair 16.58
mkt 12% · best 8.5 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Draw
14%
fair 6.9
mkt 23% · best 4.3 @ Fanduel-8pp
Croatia
79%
fair 1.26
mkt 65% · best 1.53 @ Coral+15pp
Over 2.5
59%
fair 1.7
mkt 47% · best 2.03 @ Betonlineag+12pp
Under 2.5
41%
fair 2.44
mkt 53% · best 1.82 @ Onexbet-12pp
Both score
40%
fair 2.52
mkt 44% · best 2.14 @ Onexbet-4pp
Colombia v DR Congo
Group K · 06-23 20:00 UTC-6
Colombia
72%
fair 1.4
mkt 67% · best 1.5 @ Gtbets+4pp
Draw
21%
fair 4.86
mkt 21% · best 4.42 @ Betonlineag-0pp
DR Congo
8%
fair 12.68
mkt 12% · best 8.8 @ Betfair Ex Eu-4pp
Over 2.5
42%
fair 2.39
mkt 43% · best 2.21 @ Onexbet-1pp
Under 2.5
58%
fair 1.72
mkt 57% · best 1.73 @ Onexbet+1pp
Both score
32%
fair 3.14
mkt 38% · best 2.38 @ Livescorebet-6pp
Switzerland v Canada
Group B · 06-24 12:00 UTC-7
Switzerland
53%
fair 1.87
mkt 45% · best 2.2 @ Betfair Ex Uk+8pp
Draw
27%
fair 3.71
mkt 28% · best 3.47 @ Gtbets-1pp
Canada
20%
fair 5.1
mkt 26% · best 3.8 @ Casumo-7pp
Over 2.5
41%
fair 2.43
mkt 43% · best 2.15 @ Onexbet-2pp
Under 2.5
59%
fair 1.7
mkt 57% · best 1.73 @ Gtbets+2pp
Both score
44%
fair 2.27
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Betfred Uk-6pp
Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar
Group B · 06-24 12:00 UTC-7
Bosnia & Herzegovina
52%
fair 1.92
mkt 61% · best 1.64 @ Onexbet-9pp
Draw
26%
fair 3.8
mkt 24% · best 4.05 @ Onexbet+3pp
Qatar
22%
fair 4.65
mkt 15% · best 6.4 @ Betfair Ex Eu+6pp
Over 2.5
45%
fair 2.2
mkt 47% · best 2.05 @ Gtbets-2pp
Under 2.5
55%
fair 1.83
mkt 53% · best 1.83 @ Betonlineag+2pp
Both score
48%
fair 2.08
mkt 46% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk+2pp
Scotland v Brazil
Group C · 06-24 18:00 UTC-4
Scotland
5%
fair 19.21
mkt 12% · best 8.7 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Draw
13%
fair 7.66
mkt 19% · best 5.05 @ Betonlineag-6pp
Brazil
82%
fair 1.22
mkt 70% · best 1.42 @ Smarkets+12pp
Over 2.5
62%
fair 1.62
mkt 52% · best 1.83 @ Bovada+10pp
Under 2.5
38%
fair 2.62
mkt 48% · best 2.0 @ Williamhill-10pp
Both score
39%
fair 2.54
mkt 44% · best 2.18 @ Virginbet-4pp
Morocco v Haiti
Group C · 06-24 18:00 UTC-4
Morocco
86%
fair 1.16
mkt 82% · best 1.29 @ Gtbets+4pp
Draw
11%
fair 9.17
mkt 12% · best 6.65 @ Marathonbet-1pp
Haiti
3%
fair 34.98
mkt 6% · best 14.5 @ Marathonbet-3pp
Over 2.5
58%
fair 1.71
mkt 60% · best 1.65 @ Gtbets-2pp
Under 2.5
42%
fair 2.4
mkt 40% · best 2.25 @ Tipico De+2pp
Both score
28%
fair 3.62
mkt 41% · best 2.3 @ Ladbrokes Uk-13pp
Czech Republic v Mexico
Group A · 06-24 19:00 UTC-6
Czech Republic
31%
fair 3.24
mkt 19% · best 4.83 @ Betonlineag+12pp
Draw
30%
fair 3.34
mkt 26% · best 3.66 @ Marathonbet+4pp
Mexico
39%
fair 2.55
mkt 55% · best 1.95 @ Gtbets-16pp
Over 2.5
38%
fair 2.62
mkt 43% · best 2.12 @ Casumo-5pp
Under 2.5
62%
fair 1.62
mkt 57% · best 1.7 @ Gtbets+5pp
Both score
45%
fair 2.21
mkt 48% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-3pp
South Africa v South Korea
Group A · 06-24 19:00 UTC-6
South Africa
18%
fair 5.57
mkt 23% · best 4.15 @ Marathonbet-5pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.61
mkt 27% · best 3.54 @ Marathonbet+0pp
South Korea
54%
fair 1.84
mkt 50% · best 2.08 @ Casumo+4pp
Over 2.5
37%
fair 2.69
mkt 42% · best 2.17 @ Casumo-4pp
Under 2.5
63%
fair 1.59
mkt 58% · best 1.7 @ Gtbets+4pp
Both score
40%
fair 2.5
mkt 48% · best 1.92 @ Virginbet-8pp
Curaçao v Ivory Coast
Group E · 06-25 16:00 UTC-4
Curaçao
4%
fair 25.66
mkt 10% · best 12.0 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Draw
13%
fair 7.94
mkt 16% · best 5.5 @ Draftkings-3pp
Ivory Coast
84%
fair 1.2
mkt 74% · best 1.41 @ Betonlineag+9pp
Over 2.5
57%
fair 1.76
mkt 53% · best 1.77 @ Gtbets+4pp
Under 2.5
43%
fair 2.32
mkt 47% · best 2.02 @ Gtbets-4pp
Both score
31%
fair 3.19
mkt 41% · best 2.25 @ Betfred Uk-10pp
Ecuador v Germany
Group E · 06-25 16:00 UTC-4
Ecuador
21%
fair 4.85
mkt 18% · best 5.35 @ Betonlineag+2pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.58
mkt 24% · best 4.0 @ Draftkings+4pp
Germany
51%
fair 1.94
mkt 58% · best 1.7 @ Marathonbet-7pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.55
mkt 50% · best 1.89 @ Bovada-11pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.64
mkt 50% · best 1.96 @ Betonlineag+11pp
Both score
43%
fair 2.33
mkt 51% · best 1.83 @ Betfred Uk-8pp
Japan v Sweden
Group F · 06-25 18:00 UTC-5
Japan
44%
fair 2.3
mkt 47% · best 2.16 @ Smarkets-3pp
Draw
27%
fair 3.64
mkt 27% · best 3.54 @ Marathonbet+0pp
Sweden
29%
fair 3.44
mkt 26% · best 3.73 @ Betonlineag+3pp
Over 2.5
47%
fair 2.15
mkt 43% · best 2.12 @ Unibet Se+4pp
Under 2.5
53%
fair 1.87
mkt 57% · best 1.76 @ Gtbets-4pp
Both score
52%
fair 1.94
mkt 51% · best 1.9 @ Livescorebet+0pp
Tunisia v Netherlands
Group F · 06-25 18:00 UTC-5
Tunisia
13%
fair 7.94
mkt 14% · best 7.2 @ Smarkets-1pp
Draw
24%
fair 4.2
mkt 21% · best 4.33 @ Marathonbet+3pp
Netherlands
64%
fair 1.57
mkt 65% · best 1.61 @ Gtbets-2pp
Over 2.5
42%
fair 2.39
mkt 52% · best 1.88 @ Gtbets-10pp
Under 2.5
58%
fair 1.72
mkt 48% · best 1.98 @ Bovada+10pp
Both score
39%
fair 2.58
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-8pp
Turkey v USA
Group D · 06-25 19:00 UTC-7
Turkey
40%
fair 2.52
mkt 35% · best 2.83 @ Marathonbet+4pp
Draw
26%
fair 3.78
mkt 27% · best 3.5 @ Betonlineag-1pp
USA
34%
fair 2.95
mkt 37% · best 2.6 @ Betonlineag-4pp
Over 2.5
52%
fair 1.92
mkt 48% · best 2.03 @ Betonlineag+4pp
Under 2.5
48%
fair 2.09
mkt 52% · best 1.83 @ Bovada-4pp
Both score
56%
fair 1.77
mkt 53% · best 1.8 @ Betfred Uk+3pp
Paraguay v Australia
Group D · 06-25 19:00 UTC-7
Paraguay
33%
fair 3.02
mkt 43% · best 2.24 @ Marathonbet-10pp
Draw
34%
fair 2.93
mkt 30% · best 3.31 @ Gtbets+4pp
Australia
33%
fair 3.06
mkt 27% · best 3.65 @ Betonlineag+6pp
Over 2.5
27%
fair 3.77
mkt 40% · best 2.25 @ Tipico De-14pp
Under 2.5
73%
fair 1.36
mkt 60% · best 1.63 @ Gtbets+14pp
Both score
35%
fair 2.82
mkt 47% · best 2.0 @ Betfred Uk-12pp
Norway v France
Group I · 06-26 15:00 UTC-4
Norway
19%
fair 5.3
mkt 21% · best 4.75 @ Betonlineag-2pp
Draw
24%
fair 4.1
mkt 26% · best 3.74 @ Marathonbet-1pp
France
57%
fair 1.76
mkt 53% · best 1.86 @ Smarkets+4pp
Over 2.5
50%
fair 2.02
mkt 48% · best 2.0 @ Bovada+2pp
Under 2.5
50%
fair 1.98
mkt 52% · best 1.84 @ Betonlineag-2pp
Both score
50%
fair 2.01
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Betfred Uk-0pp
Senegal v Iraq
Group I · 06-26 15:00 UTC-4
Senegal
70%
fair 1.43
mkt 69% · best 1.52 @ Betonlineag+1pp
Draw
22%
fair 4.6
mkt 20% · best 4.55 @ Marathonbet+2pp
Iraq
8%
fair 12.08
mkt 12% · best 8.2 @ Smarkets-3pp
Over 2.5
39%
fair 2.56
mkt 50% · best 1.91 @ Gtbets-11pp
Under 2.5
61%
fair 1.64
mkt 50% · best 1.93 @ Bovada+11pp
Both score
31%
fair 3.25
mkt 44% · best 2.2 @ Betfred Uk-13pp
Uruguay v Spain
Group H · 06-26 18:00 UTC-6
Uruguay
16%
fair 6.43
mkt 17% · best 5.65 @ Betonlineag-1pp
Draw
27%
fair 3.73
mkt 23% · best 4.05 @ Marathonbet+4pp
Spain
58%
fair 1.73
mkt 60% · best 1.66 @ Gtbets-2pp
Over 2.5
37%
fair 2.69
mkt 51% · best 1.94 @ Casumo-14pp
Under 2.5
63%
fair 1.59
mkt 49% · best 1.93 @ Bovada+14pp
Both score
38%
fair 2.62
mkt 49% · best 1.95 @ Virginbet-11pp
Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia
Group H · 06-26 19:00 UTC-5
Cape Verde
36%
fair 2.76
mkt 39% · best 2.69 @ Gtbets-3pp
Draw
34%
fair 2.97
mkt 27% · best 3.5 @ Marathonbet+6pp
Saudi Arabia
30%
fair 3.32
mkt 34% · best 2.85 @ Betonlineag-4pp
Over 2.5
28%
fair 3.62
mkt 42% · best 2.3 @ Williamhill-14pp
Under 2.5
72%
fair 1.38
mkt 58% · best 1.64 @ Gtbets+14pp
Both score
36%
fair 2.76
mkt 48% · best 1.97 @ Virginbet-12pp
Egypt v Iran
Group G · 06-26 20:00 UTC-7
Egypt
27%
fair 3.7
mkt 42% · best 2.41 @ Betonlineag-15pp
Draw
33%
fair 3.0
mkt 32% · best 3.2 @ Betonlineag+2pp
Iran
40%
fair 2.52
mkt 27% · best 3.62 @ Gtbets+13pp
Over 2.5
28%
fair 3.6
mkt 40% · best 2.5 @ Williamhill-12pp
Under 2.5
72%
fair 1.39
mkt 60% · best 1.57 @ Casumo+12pp
Both score
36%
fair 2.78
mkt 44% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-8pp
New Zealand v Belgium
Group G · 06-26 20:00 UTC-7
New Zealand
5%
fair 18.9
mkt 8% · best 12.0 @ Paddypower-3pp
Draw
14%
fair 6.99
mkt 15% · best 6.0 @ Casumo-0pp
Belgium
80%
fair 1.24
mkt 77% · best 1.3 @ Gtbets+3pp
Over 2.5
56%
fair 1.77
mkt 57% · best 1.67 @ Williamhill-1pp
Under 2.5
44%
fair 2.3
mkt 43% · best 2.15 @ Gtbets+1pp
Both score
36%
fair 2.8
mkt 41% · best 2.25 @ Betfred Uk-6pp
Panama v England
Group L · 06-27 17:00 UTC-4
Panama
2%
fair 51.3
mkt 7% · best 15.0 @ Betonlineag-5pp
Draw
8%
fair 13.0
mkt 13% · best 6.5 @ Leovegas-5pp
England
90%
fair 1.11
mkt 80% · best 1.26 @ Gtbets+10pp
Over 2.5
68%
fair 1.47
mkt 59% · best 1.62 @ Gtbets+9pp
Under 2.5
32%
fair 3.14
mkt 41% · best 2.35 @ Betrivers-9pp
Both score
29%
fair 3.46
mkt 42% · best 2.25 @ Betfred Uk-13pp
Croatia v Ghana
Group L · 06-27 17:00 UTC-4
Croatia
71%
fair 1.41
mkt 57% · best 1.78 @ Betonlineag+14pp
Draw
20%
fair 5.03
mkt 25% · best 3.8 @ Marathonbet-5pp
Ghana
9%
fair 10.65
mkt 18% · best 5.4 @ Smarkets-9pp
Over 2.5
48%
fair 2.07
mkt 43% · best 2.12 @ Leovegas+5pp
Under 2.5
52%
fair 1.94
mkt 57% · best 1.73 @ Gtbets-5pp
Both score
39%
fair 2.56
mkt 46% · best 2.1 @ Betfred Uk-7pp
Colombia v Portugal
Group K · 06-27 19:30 UTC-4
Colombia
30%
fair 3.3
mkt 27% · best 3.52 @ Marathonbet+3pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.54
mkt 29% · best 3.4 @ Fanduel-0pp
Portugal
41%
fair 2.41
mkt 44% · best 2.23 @ Marathonbet-3pp
Over 2.5
44%
fair 2.27
mkt 43% · best 2.12 @ Grosvenor+1pp
Under 2.5
56%
fair 1.79
mkt 57% · best 1.74 @ Gtbets-1pp
Both score
50%
fair 2.01
mkt 51% · best 1.87 @ Virginbet-1pp
DR Congo v Uzbekistan
Group K · 06-27 19:30 UTC-4
DR Congo
36%
fair 2.81
mkt 38% · best 2.6 @ Betfred Uk-2pp
Draw
37%
fair 2.72
mkt 28% · best 3.35 @ Marathonbet+9pp
Uzbekistan
28%
fair 3.61
mkt 34% · best 2.95 @ Betonlineag-6pp
Over 2.5
21%
fair 4.82
mkt 40% · best 2.25 @ Williamhill-19pp
Under 2.5
79%
fair 1.26
mkt 60% · best 1.65 @ Gtbets+19pp
Both score
30%
fair 3.36
mkt 48% · best 1.94 @ Virginbet-19pp
Algeria v Austria
Group J · 06-27 21:00 UTC-5
Algeria
28%
fair 3.63
mkt 27% · best 3.65 @ Betonlineag+0pp
Draw
28%
fair 3.58
mkt 32% · best 3.33 @ Betonlineag-4pp
Austria
45%
fair 2.25
mkt 41% · best 2.38 @ Marathonbet+4pp
Over 2.5
44%
fair 2.27
mkt 42% · best 2.17 @ Gtbets+2pp
Under 2.5
56%
fair 1.79
mkt 58% · best 1.66 @ Gtbets-2pp
Both score
49%
fair 2.03
mkt 49% · best 1.92 @ Virginbet+0pp
Jordan v Argentina
Group J · 06-27 21:00 UTC-5
Jordan
1%
fair 128.61
mkt 5% · best 19.0 @ Boylesports-4pp
Draw
4%
fair 24.77
mkt 10% · best 7.6 @ Marathonbet-6pp
Argentina
95%
fair 1.05
mkt 84% · best 1.21 @ Gtbets+11pp
Over 2.5
78%
fair 1.28
mkt 61% · best 1.56 @ Gtbets+17pp
Under 2.5
22%
fair 4.56
mkt 39% · best 2.38 @ Gtbets-17pp
Both score
24%
fair 4.12
mkt 37% · best 2.5 @ Betfred Uk-12pp
Probabilities are our Dixon-Coles model (results + recent xG + squad strength) at neutral venues. "Fair" = the model's no-vig price; "mkt" = the de-vigged market probability and best available price. The gap is information, not advice — read the full methodology.
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →