⚽ Golden Boot race

TOP SCORERS

Players ranked by total expected goals across their group-stage matches — the model's read on the Golden Boot race. Updates as lineups firm up.

PlayerExp goalsGP
1
Lionel MessiArgentina · FW
2.09
3
2
Kai HavertzGermany · FW
2.06
3
3
Kylian MbappéFrance · FW
1.65
3
4
Harry KaneEngland · FW
1.56
3
5
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal · FW
1.40
3
6
Lautaro MartínezArgentina · FW
1.24
3
7
Romelu LukakuBelgium · FW
1.23
3
8
NeymarBrazil · FW
1.08
3
9
Julián AlvarezArgentina · FW
0.96
3
10
Jonathan DavidCanada · FW
0.91
3
11
RaphinhaBrazil · FW
0.89
3
12
Vinícius JúniorBrazil · FW
0.88
3
13
Nick WoltemadeGermany · FW
0.84
3
14
Maximilian BeierGermany · FW
0.83
3
15
Luis DíazColombia · FW
0.82
3
16
Luis SuárezColombia · FW
0.82
3
17
Matheus CunhaBrazil · FW
0.81
3
18
Dani OlmoSpain · FW
0.80
3
19
Lamine YamalSpain · FW
0.80
3
20
Enner ValenciaEcuador · FW
0.80
3
21
Memphis DepayNetherlands · FW
0.79
3
22
Igor ThiagoBrazil · FW
0.78
3
23
RayanBrazil · FW
0.78
3
24
Ferran TorresSpain · FW
0.78
3
25
Gabriel MartinelliBrazil · FW
0.76
3
26
Andrej KramarićCroatia · FW
0.75
3
27
Dan NdoyeSwitzerland · FW
0.73
3
28
Deniz UndavGermany · FW
0.73
3
29
Yéremy PinoSpain · FW
0.73
3
30
Bukayo SakaEngland · FW
0.70
3
31
Noah OkaforSwitzerland · FW
0.69
3
32
Noni MaduekeEngland · FW
0.69
3
33
Marko ArnautovićAustria · FW
0.67
3
34
Luiz HenriqueBrazil · FW
0.66
3
35
Rubén VargasSwitzerland · FW
0.65
3
36
Breel EmboloSwitzerland · FW
0.65
3
37
Darwin NúñezUruguay · FW
0.64
3
38
Nico WilliamsSpain · FW
0.64
3
39
Zeki AmdouniSwitzerland · FW
0.63
3
40
Jhon CórdobaColombia · FW
0.63
3
41
Ricardo PepiUSA · FW
0.62
3
42
Charles De KetelaereBelgium · FW
0.62
3
43
Borja IglesiasSpain · FW
0.62
3
44
Matias Fernandez-PardoBelgium · FW
0.60
3
45
Anthony GordonEngland · FW
0.59
3
46
Brahim DíazMorocco · FW
0.59
3
47
Víctor MuñozSpain · FW
0.58
3
48
Marcus RashfordEngland · FW
0.58
3
49
Mehdi TaremiIran · FW
0.58
3
50
Cucho HernándezColombia · FW
0.57
3
51
Patrik SchickCzech Republic · FW
0.53
3
52
Michael OliseFrance · FW
0.53
3
53
Gonçalo RamosPortugal · FW
0.52
3
54
Désiré DouéFrance · FW
0.52
3
55
Erling HaalandNorway · FW
0.52
3
56
Igor MatanovićCroatia · FW
0.51
3
57
Ousmane DembéléFrance · FW
0.51
3
58
Viktor GyökeresSweden · FW
0.50
3
59
Abde EzzalzouliMorocco · FW
0.50
3
60
Christian PulisicUSA · FW
0.49
3
61
Mikel OyarzabalSpain · FW
0.49
3
62
João FélixPortugal · FW
0.49
3
63
Donyell MalenNetherlands · FW
0.48
3
64
Ayoube AmaimouniMorocco · FW
0.48
3
65
Michael GregoritschAustria · FW
0.48
3
66
Jamal MusialaGermany · MF
0.48
3
67
Cody GakpoNetherlands · FW
0.47
3
68
Amine GouiriAlgeria · FW
0.47
3
69
Pedro NetoPortugal · FW
0.47
3
70
Wout WeghorstNetherlands · FW
0.47
3
71
Ivan ToneyEngland · FW
0.47
3
72
Alexander IsakSweden · FW
0.46
3
73
Alexander SørlothNorway · FW
0.46
3
74
Jean-Philippe MatetaFrance · FW
0.46
3
75
Ivan PerišićCroatia · FW
0.46
3
76
Ayoub El KaabiMorocco · FW
0.46
3
77
Julian RyersonNorway · FW
0.45
3
78
Ismaïla SarrSenegal · FW
0.45
3
79
Cho Gue-sungSouth Korea · FW
0.45
3
80
Kento ShiogaiJapan · FW
0.45
3
81
Jørgen Strand LarsenNorway · FW
0.45
3
82
Jeremy ArévaloEcuador · FW
0.45
3
83
Marcus ThuramFrance · FW
0.44
3
84
Thiago AlmadaArgentina · FW
0.44
3
85
Giuliano SimeoneArgentina · FW
0.44
3
86
Facundo PellistriUruguay · FW
0.44
3
87
Raúl JiménezMexico · FW
0.44
3
88
Ayase UedaJapan · FW
0.44
3
89
Christian FassnachtSwitzerland · FW
0.43
3
90
Anthony ElangaSweden · FW
0.43
3
91
Ben Gannon-DoakScotland · FW
0.43
3
92
Nicolas JacksonSenegal · FW
0.43
3
93
Francisco TrincãoPortugal · FW
0.43
3
94
Aleksandar PavlovićGermany · MF
0.43
3
95
Lennart KarlGermany · MF
0.43
3
96
Ibrahim MbayeSenegal · FW
0.42
3
97
Tani OluwaseyiCanada · FW
0.42
3
98
Kenan YıldızTurkey · FW
0.42
3
99
Jordy CaicedoEcuador · FW
0.42
3
100
Kerem AktürkoğluTurkey · FW
0.42
3
101
Antonio NusaNorway · FW
0.41
3
102
Nilson AnguloEcuador · FW
0.41
3
103
Denis VišinskýCzech Republic · FW
0.41
3
104
Santiago GiménezMexico · FW
0.41
3
105
Ante BudimirCroatia · FW
0.40
3
106
Deniz GülTurkey · FW
0.40
3
107
Ange-Yoan BonnyIvory Coast · FW
0.40
3
108
Crysencio SummervilleNetherlands · FW
0.40
3
109
John YeboahEcuador · FW
0.40
3
110
Mohamed AmouraAlgeria · FW
0.40
3
111
Oh Hyeon-gyuSouth Korea · FW
0.40
3
112
Noa LangNetherlands · FW
0.39
3
113
Martín ZubimendiSpain · MF
0.39
3
114
Luka ModrićCroatia · MF
0.39
3
115
Tajon BuchananCanada · FW
0.39
3
116
EndrickBrazil · FW
0.39
3
117
Anis Hadj MoussaAlgeria · FW
0.39
3
118
Can UzunTurkey · FW
0.38
3
119
Son Heung-minSouth Korea · FW
0.38
3
120
RodriSpain · MF
0.38
3
Expected goals = sum of the player's per-match goal expectation across the group stage (minutes/role-weighted). Anytime-scorer prices for a specific match are on each match page. Not advice — information only.
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →