Projected bracket

KNOCKOUT BRACKET

The official 2026 bracket, filled with the model's most-likely qualifiers and projected winners. Real teams drop in as the group stage plays out.

Projected champion ♚ Argentina 19% title
R32
Czech RepublicCanada
GermanySweden
NetherlandsMorocco
BrazilJapan
FranceSweden
EcuadorNorway
MexicoSenegal
EnglandSenegal
TurkeySenegal
BelgiumSenegal
ColombiaCroatia
SpainAustria
SwitzerlandSenegal
ArgentinaUruguay
PortugalSenegal
USAIran
R16
GermanyFrance
CanadaNetherlands
BrazilEcuador
SenegalEngland
ColombiaSpain
SenegalBelgium
ArgentinaUSA
SwitzerlandPortugal
QF
FranceNetherlands
SpainBelgium
BrazilEngland
ArgentinaPortugal
SF
FranceSpain
BrazilArgentina
Final
SpainArgentina
Official R32 slot template (e.g. 2A v 2B) populated by the model: group winners/runners-up by simulated finish, third-place slots by the strongest eligible third, then winners propagated by team strength. A projection, not a prediction of exact pairings. Round-by-round odds →
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →