Group stage

GROUPS A–L

Projected standings by model expected points, with advance & win-group odds from the simulation, plus every fixture's win/draw/win probability.

Group A

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

5.2

87%

41%

2

4.8

82%

32%

3

4.2

74%

22%

4

2.1

32%

5%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Mexico v South Africa62/25/12 South Korea v Czech Republic30/28/41 Czech Republic v South Africa61/25/14 Mexico v South Korea44/30/26 Czech Republic v Mexico31/30/39 South Africa v South Korea18/28/54

Group B

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

6.9

98%

70%

2

4.9

86%

22%

3

Bosnia & Herzegovina

3.3

61%

7%

4

1.7

23%

1%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina49/30/21 Qatar v Switzerland4/10/86 Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina70/20/10 Canada v Qatar68/21/11 Switzerland v Canada53/27/20 Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar52/26/22

Group C

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

7.4

100%

77%

2

5.5

95%

19%

3

3.4

69%

3%

4

0.7

5%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Brazil v Morocco52/30/18 Haiti v Scotland10/18/73 Scotland v Morocco15/29/56 Brazil v Haiti98/1/0 Scotland v Brazil5/13/82 Morocco v Haiti86/11/3

Group D

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

4.7

79%

36%

2

4.4

75%

29%

3

3.6

61%

17%

4

3.5

60%

17%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

USA v Paraguay40/31/28 Australia v Turkey27/28/46 USA v Australia42/30/29 Turkey v Paraguay44/29/26 Turkey v USA40/26/34 Paraguay v Australia33/34/33

Group E

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

7.0

100%

70%

2

5.3

95%

21%

3

4.2

85%

9%

4

0.4

2%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Germany v Curaçao99/1/0 Ivory Coast v Ecuador22/35/43 Germany v Ivory Coast67/21/12 Ecuador v Curaçao89/9/2 Curaçao v Ivory Coast4/13/84 Ecuador v Germany21/28/51

Group F

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

5.9

92%

55%

2

4.4

76%

23%

3

3.6

63%

15%

4

2.6

41%

6%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Netherlands v Japan49/26/24 Sweden v Tunisia44/30/25 Netherlands v Sweden59/22/19 Tunisia v Japan20/31/49 Japan v Sweden44/27/29 Tunisia v Netherlands13/24/64

Group G

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

6.7

97%

70%

2

4.3

77%

17%

3

3.5

64%

10%

4

2.0

28%

2%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Belgium v Egypt63/24/13 Iran v New Zealand57/27/15 Belgium v Iran59/24/17 New Zealand v Egypt20/33/47 Egypt v Iran27/33/40 New Zealand v Belgium5/14/80

Group H

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

7.7

100%

81%

2

5.5

94%

18%

3

1.9

27%

0%

4

1.7

21%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Spain v Cape Verde93/6/1 Saudi Arabia v Uruguay6/20/74 Spain v Saudi Arabia94/5/1 Uruguay v Cape Verde72/21/7 Uruguay v Spain16/27/58 Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia36/34/30

Group I

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

6.7

98%

65%

2

4.8

88%

20%

3

4.3

80%

14%

4

1.0

9%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

France v Senegal58/26/16 Iraq v Norway6/16/78 France v Iraq89/9/2 Norway v Senegal40/29/31 Norway v France19/24/57 Senegal v Iraq70/22/8

Group J

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

7.6

100%

81%

2

4.7

87%

13%

3

3.9

76%

7%

4

0.9

8%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Argentina v Algeria76/17/7 Austria v Jordan78/15/6 Argentina v Austria66/24/11 Jordan v Algeria10/17/73 Algeria v Austria28/28/45 Jordan v Argentina1/4/95

Group K

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

6.6

98%

57%

2

6.0

96%

40%

3

2.2

36%

2%

4

1.8

25%

1%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

Portugal v DR Congo77/17/6 Uzbekistan v Colombia6/17/77 Portugal v Uzbekistan82/14/4 Colombia v DR Congo72/21/8 Colombia v Portugal30/28/41 DR Congo v Uzbekistan36/37/28

Group L

#TeamxPtsAdvWin

1

7.3

99%

73%

2

5.7

95%

26%

3

2.3

38%

1%

4

1.6

20%

0%

Fixtures · model W/D/W%

England v Croatia54/28/18 Ghana v Panama43/29/28 England v Ghana84/12/4 Panama v Croatia6/14/79 Panama v England2/8/90 Croatia v Ghana71/20/9

xPts = expected points from the model's per-match win/draw probabilities (3/1/0). Adv/Win = share of simulations the team advances / wins the group. Methodology.

For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →